2025 SEASON · COACHING TENDENCIES

Historical · 2025Back to 2026

Patriots coaching, the tendencies that decide games.

Play-call splits, situational rates, score-state pressure, and the 4th-down ledger against Ben Baldwin’s nfl4th model. Coordinator changes split into date-range rows so each tendency sits under the coach who produced it.

Overall pass rate

53%

2025 season

Neutral pass rate

49%

Tied score state

Blitz rate

10%

Defense, all downs

4th-down go rate

—

Model pending

Head coach

Mike Vrabel

Mike VrabelWK 1–18

Offensive coordinator

Josh McDaniels

Josh McDanielsWK 1–18

Defensive coordinator

Terrell Williams

Terrell WilliamsWK 1–18

Offense

Play-call mix & situation

Pass rate by down × distance

Pass rate by down and distance. Higher percentages shown with a deeper amber tint.
Down	0–3 yds	4–7 yds	8+ yds
1st	41%	22%

4th downs

Model vs. the gut

Defense

Pressure & personnel

Blitz rate

10%

conservativeWell below NFL avg (~25%)

Personnel groupings

Awaiting data

Shotgun

55%

QB aligned in shotgun

Play-action

All dropbacks

Pre-snap motion

Any offensive player

No-huddle

Snapped without huddle

Pass rate by score state

77%

TRAIL 9+

62%

TRAIL

49%

TIED

48%

LEAD

44%

LEAD 9+

Trailing big → tied → leading big